Well, Lightning Bolt is an Indirect Combat spell. So Zilfer rolls Spellcasting + Magic + foci + totem (if any) + Spirit bonuses +/- visibility. We'll say visibility's a wash. Overcasting to Force 14.
My character, for these purposes: Reaction 10, Counterspelling 6, Initiate 9, Counterspelling Focus 3, with Shielding and Arcane Arrestor (halves Force). Body of 4, Impact armor 7 + Insulation 2 (FFBA + Mortimer Greatcoat). Don't know if it applies -- pretty sure it doesn't -- but Dodge (Ranged) 6 (+2), Gymnastics 6 (+1 Improved Ability), Quickness 15. (Please note -- this is not the Wyrm.)
You know, I still don't get how people get 20+ armor.
Base DV is (Force / 2) + 3, which becomes ((14 / 2) / 2 ) + 3, or (rounding in Zilfer's favor) 4 + 3 = 7. Impact halved (rounding in my favor, this time) = 4 + 2 = 6.
So the defending character is rolling 10 + 6 + 9 + 3 = 28 dice, averaging (28/3) 9 hits to counter spellcasting hits. If the spell gets through, then 4 + 6 = 10 dice against any remnant, averaging 3 successes, which would inflict ... 5 boxes of damage with the minimum 1 successful hit on the spellcaster's part.
How nasty is the spellcaster, Zilfer?
Very nice

I'd only have a total of like.... lets see, spell casting 7 + 7 magic (woot first thing i've bought with this character karma wise) + 3 spellcasting focus (combat) + 2 Specialization (combat spells) + 6 edge is only 25 dice. If we go averages, that's what 7 hits? we'll say half of them 6's with and round down for 3 extra rerolls and that makes 1 additional hit. So total of 8 hits 22 DV.
(think i did that right for the situation)
Here's my example roll just in case.
Initial roll
25d6.hits(5) → [6,6,2,3,6,3,1,1,2,4,6,3,4,6,4,4,5,2,3,1,4,2,3,6,5] = (

Link
http://invisiblecastle.com/roller/view/3331264/Edge rerolled dice
6d6.hits(5) → [2,3,4,1,3,5] = (1)
Link
http://invisiblecastle.com/roller/view/3331268/So yeah i was close, around 8ish hits.
Your opposing dicepool however is impressive, question about sheilding however how does that work? And you can do both Dodge and Gynmastic's in the same dice pool?
But yeah if you have 9 initiation, i'm sure you've played your character much longer than mine. XD Aw well.