Well, this is fun.
Martin:
Okay, if we want to point out ridiculous reasoning: I pointed out that a decker might end up permanently bricking their deck. I never said it was statistically likely to happen. Or that it would happen. It goes in with the "deckers are extremely gear dependent" aspect of their existence and the fact the rules have an option for it to actually happen.
And then you make the ridiculous reply of asking if they have Edge (if they permanently bricked their deck, it's pretty obvious they probably don't have any left by that point), go on further to make the ridiculous argument that losing a deck is the utter end of a decker's existence when nothing within the rules prevents them from getting a new one (albeit at extreme expense and effort, making it a case of something you do only when you have absolutely no choice), and now you're arguing statistics...
Well, let's have fun with statistics for a moment... Did you know the statistical likelihood of human life arising at all is, last I checked, somewhere around four quadrillion to one against? Keep in mind that, under at least one theory, life didn't actually originate on Earth but on a comet or meteor... which means we have to check every piece of rock, ice, or dust gathering we come across. To date, we've one one "yes," one "it might have happened, but they died millions of years ago," and several "maybes." Which means that every single one we don't find life on is another check in the "not likely" column and added onto the statistical unlikelihood of the proper atmosphere, gravity, and chemical combination even existing on a planet in the first place. Then add on to that the statistical likelihood of each particular adaptation happening, and it gets even more absurd (in fact, "quadrillion" might be a few digits too low). Which means that we shouldn't even worry about life at all because, statistically, humanity shouldn't even exist.
Martin, the very fact you exist at all is outside of statistical norm by such of a massive range that it makes statistics look foolish. I'm talking about a set of dice rolls using a limited number of dice with my comments about critical glitches, which are at least a trillion times more likely to happen.
So, yeah, excuse me if I bother to take a look at a dice roll result that doesn't require scientific notation to write out the chance of it actually happening and consider it a realistic possibility to factor into my decision making. Because, really, I do more statistically absurd things every day just by still being alive.
So, that's why it is that statistical likelihood is not a very good argument about dice rolling. Or, well, a useful argument related to anything.
Edit: Apologies if I keep this appearing new. I end up rewording parts, editing, etc. way too much.